Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.255356 3.597572 3.968276 4.400959 4.893729 5.439324 6.091687
2025-08-17 2.682371 3.123668 3.634067 4.272571 5.056298 5.995125 7.217311
2025-08-24 2.347611 2.837351 3.431063 4.212629 5.227630 6.519791 8.319792
2025-08-31 2.121405 2.640527 3.293959 4.190542 5.410635 7.045958 9.461668
2025-09-07 1.999862 2.555311 3.278435 4.308813 5.772985 7.833063 11.053282
2025-09-14 1.852429 2.417982 3.174892 4.287775 5.927942 8.333664 12.284785
2025-09-21 1.721872 2.289766 3.068449 4.245628 6.038312 8.769267 13.464969
2025-09-28 1.566494 2.113844 2.878863 4.061329 5.910248 8.815348 14.004067
2025-10-05 1.493606 2.048416 2.840562 4.095833 6.118258 9.410816 15.558042
2025-10-12 1.439556 2.005396 2.830142 4.169306 6.391734 10.140841 17.463549
2025-10-19 1.389589 1.964213 2.818118 4.236922 6.659043 10.887923 19.522425
2025-10-26 1.340909 1.921196 2.799186 4.289893 6.903921 11.620959 21.678176
2025-11-02 1.286692 1.867678 2.762169 4.313250 7.105888 12.313580 23.914108
2025-11-09 1.205059 1.766656 2.642910 4.187277 7.025502 12.456699 24.985239
2025-11-16 1.144477 1.695233 2.566589 4.128707 7.062430 12.833008 26.656121
2025-11-23 1.096194 1.640604 2.514043 4.107149 7.165987 13.355844 28.779971
2025-11-30 1.077029 1.631865 2.537000 4.222495 7.546639 14.511393 32.740472
2025-12-07 1.035056 1.583073 2.488585 4.201978 7.652390 15.082296 35.308383
2025-12-14 0.992644 1.531275 2.431746 4.160873 7.710959 15.553754 37.714940
2025-12-21 0.930490 1.443257 2.306919 3.981104 7.461549 15.279563 37.919039
2025-12-28 0.906337 1.418800 2.292915 4.014763 7.671406 16.124033 41.669904
2026-01-04 0.889352 1.405711 2.298239 4.086433 7.971231 17.232816 46.564255
2026-01-11 0.872350 1.391650 2.300782 4.152383 8.265021 18.372729 51.921144